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Mon
Oct 13 2008

So, is F1 history about to repeat itself?

Alan Henry

This time last year Kimi Raikkonen was in third place, 17 points behind championship leader Lewis Hamilton with two rounds of the title chase still to go.

Kubica The Finn turned that around superbly to snatch the drivers' crown in the final race at Interlagos.

After Sunday's Japanese Grand Prix at Fuji, Robert Kubica finds himself in third place, just 12 points behind championship leader Hamilton. This begs two obvious questions. Firstly, can Kubica emulate Raikkonen's achievement? And secondly, is the lanky Pole in fact the very best driver of the current generation?

After much consideration, my respective answers are 'probably not' and 'could be' respectively.

Certainly at Fuji neither of the leading title contenders, Hamilton or Massa, particularly covered themselves in glory. But at the end of the day the BMW Sauber simply isn't consistently quick enough to run with the McLaren and Ferrari opposition. Not unless it gets a bit of a leg-up, as it did in Japan.

Yet in 13 of the 16 races so far, Kubica has finished in the points and, across the season, has made fewer mistakes than his more celebrated rivals.

It is also arguably likely that, had BMW concentrated more on the development of the 2008 car rather  than switching resources to next year's challenger, and perhaps fussing around trying to help the struggling Nick Heidfeld a bit less, then Kubica might be going into next Sunday's Chinese GP in an even stronger position.

"This is much better than my Canada win with a car that is not the one from the beginning of the season," he said. "We didn't improve a lot in the last two months, so to finish second, to keep quite good pace in qualifying, it is amazing." 

And pretty admirable, I would have thought.

 

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About Alan Henry

Our F1 expert has been covering the sport since Lewis Hamilton's father was a teenager (do the maths yourselves on that one), and writing for Autocar since 1994.

Comments

coolGav October 13, 2008 3:54 PM

Lewis might throw it away, just like last year - yesterdays performance shows that is still possible. Ferrari also have been offbeat recently with their pit-lane fiascos. If Massa does collect the title by a narrow margin, then everyone will know it was down to stewarding decisions. Kubica has been so consistent all season, often ready to pick up when others falter - that's why he's so close now. Heidfeld has experience to be there as well, hence BMW's significant constructors points score.

Maybe it's because Kubica doesn't have the pressure of expectation - BMW have already got that first win. Who's to say that Robert wouldn't also crack under like Lewis?

prw October 13, 2008 11:12 PM

Whilst there is no doubt Hamilton is still prone to making some 'unforced errors' at this stage of his career I seem to remember that Senna and Schumacher had many similar lapses in their early, and sometimes not so early, days.

Don't you think this is an essential element in the development of the most dominant drivers when they are gaining experience in the tactical manoeuvring needed to complement their natural driving skills and establish that 'edge' which ultimately separates them from the rest ?

dillonsamben October 14, 2008 8:16 AM

Sad as it might seem, Hamilton's efforts last weekend were from planet Zog where no brains are needed !  All he had to do was keep out of trouble and yet what did he do..........................

I can't believe what I am reading above though, Hamilton didn't lose the championship last year, the FIA contrived to rob him of his just rewards and so in truth, 2007 didn't have a World Champion at all.

As for last weekends race, it was Alonso and Renault who totally shone, what a brilliant controlled and totally calculated exhibition of professionalism and very much the same goes for BMW and Kubica as well.

So what will this coming weekend have to show us, I for will be there sitting comfortably at home waiting to see which team trips over itself !

Beowolf October 14, 2008 11:43 AM

Hamilton, Massa and Kubica were my driver choices at the beginning of the year.  They remain my favourite drivers at the end of the year.  

The races though while in some measure entertaining, haven't lifted themselves to the heights of past glories.  Or maybe that's me being nostalgic.

Roll on end of another season.  Here's hoping the rightful champion becomes the victor.  

Based on car/driver combo, it should be Hamilton.

Based on heart and effort, probably Massa.

Based on skill alone...?  You're right, Kubica has been very impressive...  

Latebreaker October 15, 2008 3:11 PM

The Japanese GP was a not a good day for Lewis. The first corner had me running behind the sofa, but the incident with Massa made me wonder why I had got up early.

the one thing ive learnt is that Lewis really doesnt like being overtaken and he does seem to see it as some sort of insult.

Fair enough hes a born racer, but a quick look over to Renault and If it were Alonso in a title defending position then im sure he would of done the maths in his head before the race and let Kimi go and then recalculate. Alonso has proved you dont need to win every race to win the title and im sure if he was in Lewis's position going into Japan and he knew he could finish 2nd in the remaining races and still win the title, then no risks would have been taken.

Im not Alonso's biggest fan, but its hard to look over the praise he gets for being the complete package.

Still its the mistakes that make this season very interesting, we all remember the Schumacher era of Pole then race win without him breaking a sweat.

theop October 15, 2008 5:36 PM

Hamilton: Let the guy breathe.. He made a mistake, he even said so... So what? It won't be the last. Senna, Schumi, Prost, Mansell, Piquet Senior... They ve all made mistakes (sometimes not so early in their careers as mentioned above) and all of them have repeated mistakes.. They 've all stuffed it on the wall while under no pressure at least once, they 've all overcooked that first turn, they 've all crashed on each other sometimes to eradicate one another from the title altogether.. Hamilton is great. I am not a Mc fan, but the guy is a superpilot.. I wish him the best for this year, and if he fails so be it - there is next year... Btw Latebreaker, no driver worth his salt likes to be overtaken.. its the name of the game isn't it?

Massa: The guy looks/talks like an idiot, but is very affable. I cannot help but feel for him even when he is the most prone to stuff it on the wall. Unpredictable does not even begin to describe it, but he ' s done alot this year, so if he wins it, I ll say BRAVO and then blame the FIA (Ferrari International Assistance), the stewards and any other Ecclestonian higher end hand of god I can think of....

Kubica: The guy is a hero. My hero. He is a pole, but has the ultimate in Britishness abt him. Understated, no flash, good sport, no bull***t,  talks to everyone and above all a great driver - brilliant. If he quits tomorrow, he ll still be remembered as a great one I reckon. Something of a Damon or a DC in him, but better! Deserves at least 3 world champs and I think he 'll get them at some point. I bet Ferrari have their eyes open...

Latebreaker October 16, 2008 8:00 AM

theop, you are indeed correct that 'no driver worth his salt likes to be overtaken' I race MR2's and its not nice when happens(sometimes a little too often to my liking).

However its ok to make moves like the 1st corner in Japan at the start of the season as you have plenty of time to make up for any mistakes at later races. With a championship at stake and only three races left, sometimes you have to look at the bigger picture especially if the guy whos overtaken you isnt your main rival.  Im sure it will be something he will learn for the future especially if he falls short this year.

Its because he's such a quality driver that he gets so much stick(when things go wrong). Im just glad at some point we will have another British world champion.

theop October 16, 2008 2:00 PM

I agree to this...  I guess Hami is more of a Mansell  than a Prost then! Sometimes too much blood to the brain and goes for it regardless...

And its fair to say that indeed if he drops it this year, he's only got himself to blame and the Japanese GP...

Latebreaker October 17, 2008 9:44 AM

Thats a interesting comparison, I hope he becomes as popular as Mansell was, though its a bit difficult to relate to top sportsman nowadays espeically with the huge amounts of money they earn. Time will tell.

Though judging by how much the other drivers dont like him(through envy I guess...have u seen his girlfriend, the boys done well :} ) a comparison with Schumacher might be more likley. Schumi was never everyones favourite in the paddock mostly because he was the best driver(and he liked to play dodgems now again)

kevsart October 17, 2008 4:08 PM

Can he do it ? There's so many things that have to go wrong for the "other" 2 that it's unlikely,but I wish him (and BMW) all the best for the rest of the season.

kevsart October 17, 2008 4:11 PM

How come the other drivers are turning against Hamilton in such a public way just now ? Could it be that they realise they haven't tried hard enough to win and are just the tiniest bit jealous of Lewis' talent?

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